0x81db1225f9edab9c10b4cf02c64cf30f50546ace
0x81db1225f9edab9c10b4cf02c64cf30f50546ace
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$43.45
Total PnL
$20.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
24 shares @ 8.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$23.61
$21.61
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.71
$7.71
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.33
$2.33
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-2.12
- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 21.2¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$1.05May 22, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 15?$1.04May 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03May 4, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.02Apr 30, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07Apr 30, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Apr 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Apr 15, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$1.00Apr 15, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?$0.00Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$0.00Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US bank failure by March 31?$0.00Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.72Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMSeoul Knights vs. Seoul Thunders$1.76Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2.67Apr 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeoul Knights vs. Seoul Thunders$1.00Apr 6, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 26, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.00Mar 23, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.