Rundown-Pension
0x81e9b25ddd3c931c0164c3263eaae5bae8ca0f1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.11
Total PnL
$-309.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.34
$-2.66
- YES
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-4.00
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-4.54
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
607 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.30
$-29.70
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
2564 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?
295 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $8.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.