PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Probability

15¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$386.95

Liquidity

$18.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 15¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $18.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5978.9h

    LOW

Price movement

+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 15¢.

Biggest hourly move: +4.5pp at 16:00 (to 17¢).

Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 21:00 · +3.0pp → 15¢
  • 20:00 · +3.0pp → 15¢
  • 19:00 · +3.0pp → 15¢
  • 17:00 · +3.5pp → 16¢
  • 16:00 · +4.5pp → 17¢
  • 03:00 · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 02:00 · +3.0pp → 14¢
  • 00:00 · +3.0pp → 14¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official government information
Type
Official government source
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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