Glossy-Chocolate
0x81f44e5a94fb0c674f1abcfa1076f3257f461502
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$523.40
Total PnL
$-58.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
488 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$487.80
$287.81
- YES
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
221 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.46
$-36.53
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
135 shares @ 52.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.13
$-60.13
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
2213 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$70.27Mar 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$200.00Mar 13, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 13, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$270.27Mar 13, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?$61.99Jan 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Jan 10, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 10, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$256.41Jan 10, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$100.00Nov 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$50.00Nov 22, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$100.00Nov 22, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $97.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.