Failing-Backbone
0x81fcdde4153a16073c8ce2f55118002f38e58c02
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$95.09
Total PnL
$-16.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$95.09
$0.10
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 22?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 6?
990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 9?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 19?
633 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 9?
575 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 3?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$95.01May 28, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$95.09May 28, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$95.00May 23, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$95.09May 23, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$95.01May 17, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$95.09May 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$95.01May 12, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$95.09May 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$95.01May 7, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$95.19May 7, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$95.01May 3, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$94.09May 3, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$94.00Apr 26, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$94.09Apr 26, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$94.00Apr 23, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?$94.09Apr 23, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?$94.00Apr 17, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on April 15?$94.09Apr 17, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on April 15?$94.00Apr 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 10?$94.09Apr 14, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $84.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".