Heavenly-Cicada
0x8204c2803f9b69e6a623ac70c92a049699ed56ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$574.49
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
6000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.2K
$30.00
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$2.0K
$120.00
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$895.00
$235.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$765.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2000 shares @ 90.1¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$533.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
12498 shares @ 17.9¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.42
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$337.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$212.50
$-112.50
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
274 shares @ 32.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$102.67
$15.06
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
237 shares @ 54.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.43
$-112.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $19.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.