Insubstantial-Newsstand
0x8208d1a92f16f9bfa11d7b0efea88a0d78d7afbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$852.01
Total PnL
$-420.57
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
586 shares @ 58.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$284.44
$-57.40
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
350 shares @ 87.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$260.75
$-45.25
- YES
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
283 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$152.82
$25.47
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$100.00
$29.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$54.00
$-94.00
- YES
Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
910 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-99.36
- NO
Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?
501 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
280 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- YES
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?
170 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-93.50
- YES
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
144 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$71.82Jun 6, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$0.00Jun 1, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$300.00Jun 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$267.00May 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$198.56May 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.10May 29, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$39.32May 29, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$97.90May 27, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$49.86May 27, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.50May 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$23.28May 26, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?$2.47May 26, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.12May 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$46.62May 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$25.01May 26, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$27.50May 26, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$6.11May 26, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?$3.56May 26, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.39May 26, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$35.97May 26, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $47.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.