Repulsive-Left
0x8217b6c8878a4aa4ecc023608dbf91d4fac64936
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-15.6K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
54%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
364 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$361.64
$81.18
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
300 shares @ 64.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$265.57
$72.94
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
269 shares @ 78.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$222.25
$11.10
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
290 shares @ 5.2¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.65
$201.56
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
272 shares @ 34.6¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$208.71
$114.78
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
206 shares @ 17.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.14
$155.65
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
206 shares @ 85.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.84
$10.70
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
562 shares @ 24.6¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$130.58
$-7.74
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1299 shares @ 5.3¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$118.90
$50.18
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
829 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$118.02
$-31.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$86.08Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$13.15Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$10.93Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$93.49Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$24.31Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$11.90Jun 12, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$12.65Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$14.76Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$44.15Jun 9, 04:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$11.27Jun 4, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$10.67Jun 4, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.