Dead-Screamer
0x821febe09ea9331bbd3522b4ba2c325724d1f9c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$76.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
1082 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$33.58
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
909 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$823.05
$23.05
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
876 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$809.87
$9.87
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
454 shares @ 88.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$453.73
$53.73
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1190 shares @ 42.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$422.62
$-77.38
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?
314 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$313.54
$13.54
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
306 shares @ 65.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$267.57
$67.57
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$219.78
$19.78
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?
218 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$218.48
$18.48
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
219 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.83
$10.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$108.70Jun 29, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$294.19Jun 29, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$100.32May 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$200.88May 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$200.56May 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$200.64May 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$200.88May 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$200.56May 26, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$200.72May 26, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$200.88May 26, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$200.48May 26, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$100.00May 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$100.00May 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$100.32May 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$100.20May 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$100.16May 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$100.32May 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?$100.36May 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$100.68May 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$100.16May 19, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $179.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.