Third-Prophet
0x822b7a79bcc638eb6892baa479ee018c7ccc509a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-303.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2838 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-128.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
479 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-91.00
- YES
Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?
309 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-84.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arisa win Sanremo 2026?$84.74Mar 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$84.74Mar 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$68.99Feb 26, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$68.99Feb 26, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$95.53Feb 3, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$95.53Feb 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$76.31Jan 9, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$76.31Jan 9, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$36.50Jan 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$91.00Oct 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$78.00Oct 9, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$50.00Oct 9, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $75.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.