Easy-Afterthought
0x8236a4964cdae5d58ee5649ac9369378b4ea7c8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$453.65
Total PnL
$-332.73
Realised
$-18.48
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
1382 shares @ 43.2¢·now 19.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$262.52
$-334.16
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
1549 shares @ 3.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$65.06
$17.15
- NO
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
38 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$33.77
$1.15
- YES
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
248 shares @ 2.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$22.94
$16.08
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
157 shares @ 13.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$21.20
$0.21
- YES
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
310 shares @ 2.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$13.28
$5.00
- YES
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
1006 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.55
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
708 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.50
$-2.12
- YES
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
905 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.79
$-0.45
- YES
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
149 shares @ 1.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$5.96
$3.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?$3.10Jun 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$36.73Jun 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.00Jun 11, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$2.58Jun 6, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?$16.71Jun 4, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?$10.93Jun 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?$8.23Jun 1, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$2.61Jun 1, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.03May 31, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$100.79May 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$40.73May 30, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$4.17May 29, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$6.57May 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?$7.46May 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?$6.14May 27, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$4.55May 26, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$62.25May 25, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$15.55May 25, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$2.06May 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?$11.55May 19, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.