Cruel-Experiment
0x827db232a7d692e2aef7df20002d003c68315908
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-36.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
62 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
47 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
46 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$4.00May 5, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Apr 10, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.13Apr 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)$1.00Apr 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?$1.00Apr 10, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?$1.00Apr 10, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 6?$1.00Apr 10, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$1.00Apr 10, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Apr 10, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Apr 10, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.00Apr 10, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.00Apr 9, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.00Apr 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.00Apr 9, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?$1.00Apr 9, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.68Apr 9, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.00Apr 9, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.00Apr 9, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.