Cautious-Rocketship-Disdain
0x827dd4cb194dd7df944f49afee6422d07b17b276
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$68.80
Total PnL
$-1.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
52 shares @ 9.7¢·now 29.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.04
$10.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.58
$0.08
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.01
$1.01
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?
46 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 17?
38 shares @ 5.3¢·now 7.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.91
$0.91
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 10.7¢·now 10.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.82
$-0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 17, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 17?$1.05Jun 17, 00:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$3.43Jun 16, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$0.06Jun 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$0.06Jun 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$6.45Jun 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 17?$3.15Jun 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 17?$2.09Jun 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 17?$5.24Jun 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 16, 16:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 16, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$47.65Jun 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.08Jun 16, 10:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.