Windy-Plot
0x828900c684695d76cb165ede935ee9138a2b88db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-316.70
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Minnesota be the closest state?
1006 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-39.22
- YES
Trump blowout victory?
462 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will another state be the closest state?
287 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 0%-1.0%?
183 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump win 6 swing states?
169 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota be the closest state?$0.30Nov 9, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$56.54Nov 6, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$61.23Nov 6, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$53.03Nov 6, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$57.70Nov 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$48.74Nov 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$43.43Nov 6, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$45.69Nov 6, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$44.12Nov 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$210.87Nov 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.9KNov 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$387.81Nov 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$83.89Nov 6, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$270.29Nov 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$561.10Nov 6, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$12.64Nov 6, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$214.90Oct 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$9.00Oct 17, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$40.00Oct 17, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $148.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.