Whirlwind-Lard
0x828a66adf89307f2439138cbec1e16b25c8c5c22
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$19.99
Total PnL
$-2.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
2 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Feb 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Feb 4, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Jan 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 19, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$1.00Dec 29, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Studio win Best Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 16, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SMU win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?$1.00Nov 25, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?$1.00Nov 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?$1.00Nov 4, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 21, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?$1.00Oct 14, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $116K in September?$1.33Oct 7, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-08-12?$1.61Oct 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?$1.00Sep 22, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $116K in September?$1.00Sep 9, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".