Natural-Jute
0x828d802b07bd47410d7ca90d6db2c53b54e2c682
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$5.65
Total PnL
$-24.71
Realised
$2.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.03
$-0.15
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
20 shares @ 6.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
109 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$0.77May 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.18Feb 11, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$2.00Feb 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$1.41Feb 6, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$3.00Feb 5, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$1.00Feb 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in February?$1.00Feb 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$15.13Feb 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$0.21Feb 3, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$0.01Feb 3, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$0.41Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.57Feb 3, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.00Feb 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$4.58Feb 2, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.01Jan 31, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.