Smoggy-Nose
0x829f820ad4067409d16bfc662179458b86082387
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$511.94
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
531 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$511.94
$11.94
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?
1064 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 6?
287 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 19?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 12?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 11?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
86 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?
79 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$2.0KMay 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?$22.82Mar 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?$1000.00Mar 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?$1.7KMar 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?$1.4KMar 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 19?$10.00Mar 19, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?$1.4KMar 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?$1.2KMar 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 18?$100.00Mar 18, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?$1.3KMar 17, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$0.00Mar 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?$1.1KMar 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?$10.00Mar 17, 15:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Mar 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.0KMar 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$65.80Mar 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$203.33Mar 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$1000.00Mar 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$2.0KMar 13, 15:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Mar 13, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $605.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.