Informal-Tensor
0x82a36cd2d4196b533ff429d9c3f52c4ac970c11a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-300.74
Realised
$-8.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?
978 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.56
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of June 22 2026?
976 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 25?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
183 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
164 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of May 4 2026?
150 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
132 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?$19.29Aug 2, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?$20.71Aug 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$39.96Aug 2, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of July 27 2026?$10.28Jul 27, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of July 27 2026?$1.03Jul 27, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$11.39Jul 24, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$16.05Jul 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$13.89Jul 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?$2.20Jul 22, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?$10.26Jul 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$21.68Jul 22, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$47.02Jul 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$56.37Jul 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$56.20Jul 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$69.46Jul 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?$31.81Jul 6, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$34.65Jul 6, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?$35.97Jul 6, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of July 6 2026?$10.34Jul 6, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of June 29 2026?$6.22Jul 2, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $29.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.