Stained-Lookout
0x82ac9a35818d19119526e87d396f0c985798e73f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$177.91
Total PnL
$-4.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
178 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$177.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 17-23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$178.01May 14, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?$178.18May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?$178.01May 11, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$178.18May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$178.01May 8, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?$178.18May 7, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?$178.01May 6, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$0.00May 6, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.14May 6, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.15May 6, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.25May 6, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$1.40May 6, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$172.17May 6, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$172.01Apr 30, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?$172.97Apr 30, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?$172.81Apr 26, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?$170.16Apr 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?$170.00Apr 22, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.14Apr 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$1.40Apr 22, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $94.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".