Misguided-Chub
0x82bf0b874cad6f50d10a33fb02e6d0e7386628fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$194.60
Total PnL
$-188.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
712 shares @ 27.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$113.62
$-78.71
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
211 shares @ 18.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.64
$-4.96
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
95 shares @ 31.6¢·now 28.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$26.76
$-3.24
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?
210 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.06May 18, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $23.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".