0x82c6ac2a058e217f11485f0cafd6ec08515be6c0
0x82c6ac2a058e217f11485f0cafd6ec08515be6c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$31.04
Total PnL
$-490.92
Realised
$-32.95
Win rate
29%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
31 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$30.98
$8.04
- YES
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
109 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.05
$-2.88
- YES
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?
359 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.31
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
347 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-63.18
- NO
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
339 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.68
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
321 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.21
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
173 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?
160 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.01
- ASTRALIS
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
155 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-63.55
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?
139 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$0.23Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.24Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.41Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?$0.67Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.67Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 7?$0.84Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$1.00Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?$1.04Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?$1.29Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill three people dissent the March Fed decision?$2.00Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$3.81Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill two people dissent the March Fed decision?$5.00Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$10.57Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?$18.95Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$22.94Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?$26.33Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of April 25?$48.41Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?$115.25Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$132.02Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$0.00Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.