Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

1. 1

   Up 11pp over 24h

   Now 92¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Heavy volume on this book — 2.2× turnover

   $24.9k traded against $11.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.

4. 4

   Thin liquidity

   Only $11.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.