Long-Term-Booklet
0x82cb1242998189882a6990437626b161a4b0693a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.45
Total PnL
$-6.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
35 shares @ 12.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.45
$8.24
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
36 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?
32 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
11 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$4.21Jun 8, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$5.93Jun 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.41Jun 1, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$31.38May 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?$2.51May 25, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$5.34May 22, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?$4.44May 11, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$6.07May 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.34May 4, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.67May 4, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$3.22Apr 27, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?$0.00Apr 21, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-18?$8.98Apr 21, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.27Apr 21, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-18?$5.57Apr 18, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Utah$0.00Apr 13, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Utah$0.00Apr 13, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 13, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$4.82Apr 13, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.