Third-Caper
0x82d012168216b627459f15b0c597f54cf8ed60a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.81
Total PnL
$-76.06
Realised
$-1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.97
$6.38
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.84
$0.94
- YES
Will BNB reach $900 in February?
611 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.11
- YES
Will BNB reach $800 in February?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?
165 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-34.65
- YES
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- NO
Will Amber Morrison and Jordan Faeth marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?
48 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-22.36
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
15 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$2.85Mar 1, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$7.23Mar 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.41Mar 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.20Mar 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$0.84Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?$2.43Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?$1.28Mar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.95Mar 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$0.63Mar 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$7.46Mar 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?$5.87Mar 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena dip to $0.08 in February?$22.21Mar 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.11Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Heat$32.10Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.40Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.29Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$3.90Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$9.24Feb 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLPelicans vs. Jazz$10.00Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?$5.00Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".