Secret-Hero
0x83078a616bd0371a4fa04fce1d0bed409e409b91
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.10
Total PnL
$-71.60
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.1¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 13?
5135 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?
4363 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 19?
3264 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 19?
2211 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on March 23?
1081 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 18?
1080 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 5?
1076 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 22?
1074 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.51Jul 3, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.50Jul 2, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.80Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.79Jun 26, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.90 on June 6?$2.12Jun 7, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 31?$1.1KJun 1, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 31?$1.1KJun 1, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 30?$1.1KMay 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 30?$1.1KMay 31, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 29?$1.1KMay 30, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 29?$1.1KMay 30, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 28?$1.1KMay 29, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 28?$1.1KMay 29, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 27?$1.1KMay 28, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 27?$1.1KMay 28, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 26?$1.1KMay 27, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 26?$1.1KMay 27, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 25?$1.1KMay 26, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 25?$1.1KMay 26, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?$1.1KMay 25, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $768.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.