Eager-Creche
0x83272599df0be8f16cc925d5c64d39246fe066df
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-3.89
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)
3066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
1584 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-167.87
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
1129 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
1013 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- CERUNDOLO
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
593 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-403.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
527 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
515 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
330 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-51.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$25.92Apr 5, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$25.00Apr 5, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$403.00Feb 18, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$0.00Feb 3, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$0.00Feb 3, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$103.11Feb 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.63Feb 3, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.03Feb 3, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$44.00Feb 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$100.00Feb 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$6.00Feb 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$25.00Feb 2, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$25.00Feb 2, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$40.00Feb 2, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$141.42Feb 2, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$100.00Feb 2, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$30.00Feb 2, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$3.45Feb 2, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$9.39Feb 2, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.00Feb 2, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $55.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 18:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".