Few-Terrapin
0x832b05a5a5ebe94a38a69623aef77f52453b482d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.50
Realised
$-1.43
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?
160 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
53 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
16 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.64Jul 15, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.66Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.16Jul 2, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05Jul 2, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.05Jul 2, 16:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $6.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.