Uniform-Adaptation
0x832e76c3b1c6cf95c28c70995a64bd82c1280c12
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$6.56
Total PnL
$-56.61
Realised
$1.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 51.2¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 44.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.90
$-0.10
- PACQUIAO
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
159 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.13Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 13, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$1.18Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.97Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$1.00Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.37Jun 11, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$1.45Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$1.91Jun 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$1.71Jun 1, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Jun 1, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.15Jun 1, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$1.15Jun 1, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.45May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner$1.92May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$0.97May 12, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$1.01May 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner$1.02May 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)$1.01May 12, 15:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.