Impeccable-Dispute-Term
0x83327143f3666ede8748b70ba4c7333974582bf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$5.64
Total PnL
$-18.76
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 81.1¢·now 81.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 76.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.17Jul 22, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.04Jul 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$3.46Jul 22, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.03Jul 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.39Jul 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.05Jul 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.57Jul 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.44Jul 22, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.34Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.05Jul 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.16Jul 22, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.05Jul 22, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.