Long-Term-Kidney
0x836285b8409adcc96e4f8e61c0f310e95e3ebb7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$36.51
Total PnL
$-216.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 62.6¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.23
$0.23
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 52.2¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5PM ET
49 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
43 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-24.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$5.07Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$1.02Jun 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$5.10Jun 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$3.00Jun 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$5.08Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.20Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.83Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.04Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.03Jun 13, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$3.64Jun 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$2.03Jun 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$2.56Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.03Jun 12, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.06Jun 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$9.52Jun 12, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$10.18Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$10.24Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.