0x8384b103727d3ab54f15e421c621d13a7953486c
0x8384b103727d3ab54f15e421c621d13a7953486c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$14.76
Total PnL
$-147.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.58
$1.10
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
35 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$4.00
$-5.73
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.47
$0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
80 shares @ 7.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.43
$-4.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
18 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.93
$-0.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.35
$-4.13
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
207 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?
61 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 13?$5.00Jul 13, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?$7.04Jul 13, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 12?$3.00Jul 13, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$16.81Jul 12, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 12?$2.03Jul 12, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?$7.11Jul 11, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 13?$3.70Jul 11, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?$2.00Jul 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on July 11?$6.00Jul 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 12?$1.62Jul 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 12?$1.84Jul 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11?$1.11Jul 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?$4.97Jul 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 12?$4.88Jul 11, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 10?$4.00Jul 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$4.97Jul 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on July 11?$4.61Jul 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$5.19Jul 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?$4.70Jul 10, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?$12.00Jul 9, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.