Magnificent-Sandbar
0x83885212bffa685d827114cbd205b417e8f5ef9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$17.07
Total PnL
$-1.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 41.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
2 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$2.37
$1.37
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 44.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.24
$1.24
- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
2 shares @ 51.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.93
$0.93
- OVER
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5
2 shares @ 52.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- CLIPPERS
Timberwolves vs. Clippers
2 shares @ 55.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Clippers$1.00Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-12.5)$1.00Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Pelicans$1.00Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5$1.00Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.00Jan 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jan 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 6, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 6, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$1.00Jan 6, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Nov 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.30Oct 28, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$1.82Oct 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$1.00Oct 8, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Sep 2, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$1.00Aug 19, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Aug 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Jul 29, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.