Rare-Marshland
0x838caca7e2470f249b10a017839a7063385d5c82
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$21.93
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-69.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
137 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.93
$-0.07
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
44343 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
2040 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
274 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-83.18
- YES
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
59 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
37 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.