Considerate-Amusement
0x83935deedd570251c7bc1cdf361dfc37a269f0ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$801.81
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?
1221 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$0.00
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?
693 shares @ 91.3¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$596.32
$-36.60
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?
549 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$505.45
$5.49
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
451 shares @ 4.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$419.44
$399.83
- NO
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?
291 shares @ 86.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$257.56
$5.30
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
288 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$237.76
$-7.20
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
609 shares @ 2.5¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$182.70
$167.67
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
186 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.18
$2.79
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
192 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$150.72
$-2.88
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
609 shares @ 2.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$149.20
$134.17
Recent activity
- REWARD$7.76Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.04Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$2.13Jun 12, 10:20 UTC
- REWARD$7.32Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?$309.08Jun 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$2.04Jun 11, 05:17 UTC
- REWARD$5.27Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.68Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$7.81Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$8.00Jun 8, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$15.41Jun 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?$53.70Jun 6, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$16.80Jun 6, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$139.59Jun 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?$244.97Jun 6, 03:12 UTC
- REWARD$7.48Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?$17.40Jun 5, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?$3.23Jun 5, 02:41 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$8.66Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $228.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.