Impeccable-Muscatel
0x83d10ebc9a0f507ad2c50a3418a7b02ab0b0c092
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$20.36
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$8.16
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
32 shares @ 47.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.69
$-4.31
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-1.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
689 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
224 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
121 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-68.42
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$117.07Apr 8, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$130.69Apr 8, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$127.04Apr 8, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 8, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$63.97Apr 8, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$74.07Apr 8, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.71Mar 15, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET$0.00Mar 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00Mar 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Mar 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$15.00Mar 15, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$9.34Mar 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$9.78Mar 15, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $17.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".