Fair-Landing
0x83d1c94f52f094f22e0abd18eb8931e2879ec800
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$243.16
Total PnL
$-685.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
377 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$209.43
$9.43
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
250 shares @ 46.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.72
$-81.19
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
3250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
315 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
300 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?
300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$200.00May 24, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 2, 2026?$5.73Apr 1, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$50.00Mar 20, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$104.00Mar 3, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France strike Iran by March 31?$52.69Mar 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$45.50Mar 2, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$14.70Feb 28, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$49.68Feb 19, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$10.00Feb 19, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$11.25Feb 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$10.00Feb 19, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$142.78Feb 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$100.00Feb 18, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?$51.91Feb 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?$111.24Feb 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$68.32Feb 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$10.00Feb 12, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$20.00Feb 12, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?$50.00Feb 12, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $67.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".