Firsthand-Streetcar
0x83dfaf25f302af2828f8d45d123c6239e74d6e43
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.20
Total PnL
$-124.85
Realised
$-10.47
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-3.86
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
58 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
54 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
41 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?
41 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
38 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.00May 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 2, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5PM ET$9.27Apr 21, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5PM ET$7.00Apr 21, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.87Apr 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.17Apr 21, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.72Apr 21, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Apr 21, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?$1.35Apr 16, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".