Weighty-Influence
0x83e212ceede7be8c7d624fc3e75b0439d546dd5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$38.7K
Total PnL
$-13.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
15667 shares @ 87.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.0K
$342.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
18427 shares @ 78.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.4K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
16139 shares @ 67.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.3K
$-3.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
3506 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.4K
$127.98
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
512 shares @ 82.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$492.46
$68.57
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$150.00
$21.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
17667 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-8.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
2000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-580.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?
900 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-630.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.38Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.52Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.49Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.51Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.58Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.66Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.66Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.63Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.54Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.55Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.50Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.49Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.55Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.49Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.27Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.21Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.25Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.21Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.10Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.