Innocent-Engine
0x83e6db85abbf43206a048fbd1a0df9760d492488
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$11.58
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.55
$0.01
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$-0.09
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$-0.01
- NO
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.30
$0.02
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.21
$0.00
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.12
$0.03
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- YES
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
4800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.09May 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$1.04May 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$1.21May 21, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.41May 21, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.32May 21, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.54May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$1.28May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.21May 21, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.54May 21, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01May 16, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.40May 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.12May 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.99May 16, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.14May 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.23May 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.74May 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.74May 5, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$1.18May 5, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.27May 5, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.30May 5, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".