0x83fee45597d95427c9712dfb13485d269a4f88c7
0x83fee45597d95427c9712dfb13485d269a4f88c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$839.15
Total PnL
$-705.36
Realised
$-84.48
Win rate
44%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$200.00
$198.00
- YES
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$166.67
$165.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?
85 shares @ 18.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$84.83
$69.11
- YES
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
81 shares @ 44.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$81.35
$45.06
- UP
XRP Up or Down on April 20?
80 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$80.00
$68.00
- YES
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
64 shares @ 10.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.31
$57.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
53 shares @ 28.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$52.65
$37.65
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?
44 shares @ 27.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$43.64
$31.65
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
46 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.17
$1.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
39 closed markets, 44% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.