Treasured-Request
0x84014c5b1b70ecd2e26b9a9acf066e7ff44e33c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$272.63
Total PnL
$4.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
104 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$103.52
$3.52
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
102 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$101.73
$1.73
- NO
Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.41Nov 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$100.82Nov 12, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$101.63Nov 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$100.70Nov 7, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$100.00Nov 7, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$100.00Nov 7, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$100.00Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.00Nov 7, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?$100.00Nov 7, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$20.00Nov 7, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$100.00Nov 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$1.1KNov 7, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$957.66Nov 6, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$16.73Nov 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by December 31?$1.00Nov 6, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.01Nov 6, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.05Nov 6, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.08Nov 6, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?$3.44Nov 6, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?$41.00Nov 6, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $49.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".