Crooked-Deduction
0x8405cad693b408920adbb5e60b2723c42ac32163
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$194.18
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-6.30
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.98
$-0.60
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.31
$-0.12
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.18
$-0.84
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 10.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.03
$-2.27
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.93
$-0.84
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.74
$-2.51
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.29
$-0.12
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.05
$1.07
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.65
$0.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 22-28?
164 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-14.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$9.19Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$16.23Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$32.57Jun 13, 03:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$9.50Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$15.24Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$8.96Jun 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$8.96Jun 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$8.72Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$16.70Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$8.88Jun 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$14.16Jun 12, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$2.78Jun 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$7.40Jun 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$6.99Jun 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.16Jun 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.98Jun 11, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.82Jun 11, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.42Jun 11, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.29Jun 11, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.