Experienced-Paradise
0x841ff7664a363a502639fb6eab10724d5fa1bbd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-501.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Claude 4.8 released by June 30?
1114 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$33.06
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
400 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$397.40
$77.40
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 39.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$29.05
$-10.25
- NO
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$24.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
286 shares @ 35.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.71
$-95.29
- NO
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
183 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.09
$-99.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?
574 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
421 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-281.97
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
121 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-99.10
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?
111 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$11.85May 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by June 30?$1.0KMay 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by June 30?$20.02May 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by June 30?$20.03May 27, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by June 30?$20.02May 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by June 30?$20.02May 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$10.25May 27, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$5.12May 27, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$10.23May 27, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$10.20May 27, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$59.27May 27, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$5.73May 27, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$0.01May 24, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)$99.90May 24, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)$49.00May 23, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$175.03May 23, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$144.97May 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$40.25May 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$3.56May 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$5.59May 23, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $304.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".