Dishonest-Midline
0x842b4bb161576d37af4fd56577a317b98167402c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.99
Total PnL
$-52.15
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 15?
5336 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 24?
2056 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 7?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on February 10?
1095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?
1094 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 7?
1093 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 16?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 23?
1082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 27?
1082 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$3.10Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.34Jul 31, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?$9.44Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?$9.40Jul 29, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?$9.03Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?$9.00Jul 21, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$5.01Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$5.00Jul 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$3.08Jul 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.34Jul 3, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.27Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 24?$0.08Jun 24, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 24?$8.14Jun 24, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12?$2.10Jun 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?$2.10Jun 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.25Jun 2, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.13May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$2.10May 25, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.07May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.06May 21, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $409.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.