Mature-Initial
0x8436dcf31e3835973994626e94acdf6518bd6702
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$169.52
Total PnL
$0.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 24?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 24?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 24?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$8.94
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 24?$8.93Mar 23, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 24?$20.00Mar 23, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 24?$30.00Mar 23, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$30.00Mar 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$20.00Mar 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$30.00Mar 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?$10.00Mar 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?$20.00Mar 23, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$8.29Mar 23, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?$40.08Mar 23, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$40.12Mar 23, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.16Mar 23, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.28Mar 23, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$8.21Dec 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?$40.00Dec 21, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$40.00Dec 21, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.00Dec 21, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.00Dec 21, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$20.06Dec 21, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$30.03Dec 21, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $25.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".