0x8448cfe3426920030500f7c0c533393afd933b25
0x8448cfe3426920030500f7c0c533393afd933b25
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.69
Total PnL
$4.17
Realised
$0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$1.99
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
7 shares @ 56.9¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.74
$1.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 25.3¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.30
$-0.02
- OVER
Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.32
$-0.04
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 17.2¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5$1.38Jun 5, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMMensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5$0.00Jun 4, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMMatteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.39Jun 4, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMatteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5$1.97Jun 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5$1.50Jun 2, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMRafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 2, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5$1.91Jun 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3.77Jun 2, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5$2.03Jun 2, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.01Jun 1, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$10.01Jun 1, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.41May 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.02May 19, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.02May 15, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.32May 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.34May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.00May 11, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00May 10, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.99May 10, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03May 8, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".