Watery-Originality
0x844cda11ce6ed3a2215580d9ec2c6b4cffeb3acc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$23.26
Total PnL
$-64.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$23.26
$13.26
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?
117 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
82 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?
49 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?
42 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 24, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 24, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?$8.00Feb 24, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.00Feb 24, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00Feb 24, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?$3.20Jan 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?$2.00Jan 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Jan 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$10.00Jan 4, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.00Jan 4, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Bobby Jindal for HHS Secretary?$5.00Nov 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Eagles$5.00Nov 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?$5.00Nov 12, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 6 swing states?$0.00Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$9.09Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$12.50Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$18.18Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.