Standard-Grand
0x844e3e3958788016a26dc3b3fefbebc7edbcb653
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 26?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
522 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 17?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
389 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
388 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
12 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?
3 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $200 in November?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$153.15Jun 6, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$153.01Jun 4, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$152.61May 31, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$151.08May 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$151.25May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$150.06May 24, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$150.15May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$150.01May 22, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?$149.75May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?$149.04May 20, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$148.59May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?$148.02May 19, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$148.45May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$148.02May 17, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$148.41May 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$145.17May 15, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$145.15May 13, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$145.01May 13, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$144.94May 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$105.67May 12, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $113.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.