Medium-Infection
0x845e74d8be1b215f13f239bb3636b706d956d22b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-630.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
2657 shares @ 72.0¢·now 44.7¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.2K
$-724.62
- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
2365 shares @ 35.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$721.30
$-107.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
859 shares @ 84.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$708.61
$-13.47
- YES
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
1819 shares @ 22.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$682.08
$281.92
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
1381 shares @ 52.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$600.90
$-120.03
- YES
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
451 shares @ 41.3¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$241.06
$54.82
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
39 shares @ 77.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.55
$2.27
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
120 shares @ 21.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$24.60
$-1.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
256 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.48
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?$23.04Jul 13, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$209.25Jul 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$0.13Jul 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1.96Jul 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$8.82Jul 13, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.20Jul 13, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.20Jul 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$310.00Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$36.41Jul 13, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$1.00Jul 13, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?$6.60Jul 13, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$260.00Jul 13, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$260.00Jul 13, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$260.00Jul 13, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$260.00Jul 13, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$227.03Jul 13, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$14.32Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$166.51Jul 12, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.70Jul 12, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $189.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.