Sorrowful-News
0x84727cea093457463433a4e3af5f2f08a143dea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$40.66
Total PnL
$-224.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.69
$0.69
- YES
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.00
$-27.40
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.44
$1.44
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.90
$0.12
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.34
$0.34
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- YES
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 91.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$-3.24
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
60 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-8.25
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.08
$-1.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$3.92Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12?$7.50Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$8.11Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$4.35Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12?$3.09Jun 11, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 11, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.04Jun 11, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$3.06Jun 11, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$3.03Jun 11, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?$5.38Jun 10, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela win on 2026-06-09?$4.35Jun 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela win on 2026-06-09?$3.03Jun 10, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?$5.01Jun 10, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$3.01Jun 10, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$5.05Jun 10, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$4.41Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$3.05Jun 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$3.04Jun 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$3.03Jun 9, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$4.76Jun 5, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.